Any progress towards AI at all? was Re: [extropy-chat] FuturesPast
matus at matus1976.com
Mon Oct 10 14:09:09 UTC 2005
Brian Atkins said:
> All the necessary research into having computers work with various
> systems had been done. The hardware necessary for a success, from
> drive-by-wire, computers, etc. was already here years ago. Yet we
> end up
> with working autonomous offroad vehicles until yesterday. It took a
> competitive prize to finally get the major universities and groups to
> and write the complete software and do the offroad testing necessary
> the working vehicles.
> Without such organizational efforts? We would not have those vehicles
> right now.
> Who knows how much longer it would have taken.
Excellent point and very well said.
> There are tons of other examples where a technology could have
> completed years earlier, but just didn't for various non-technical
I think it's very clear what those 'non-technical' reasons are. If the
people in the Extropy / Transhumanist / futurist community put 1/10 the
effort into actually accomplishing things as they do in yapping about
how great the future will be a lot more of these things would have been
accomplished. (Excluding those who actually are working toward these
I would say that the feasibility and
> prerequisites are more important to figure out rather than simply
> guess a particular year of creation or mass adoption.
Well the former requires work and effort, and might actually compel
someone to work toward those goals. The latter only requires
daydreaming and patting ourselves on the back once in a while, while
letting everyone else do all the hard work.
Michael F Dickey
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