Any progress towards AI at all? was Re: [extropy-chat] Futures Past
dirk.bruere at gmail.com
Mon Oct 10 00:24:21 UTC 2005
On 10/9/05, Russell Wallace <russell.wallace at gmail.com> wrote:
> On 10/9/05, Brett Paatsch <bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au> wrote:
> > The impression that I get is that pretty much all that has been built up
> > by AI researchers is a list of ways that don't work and approaches that
> > have not yeilded any gain.
> In 1998, there was a lot of truth in that assessment.
> Can you think of any clear instances of positive *progress* towards the
> > goal of building an AI?
> Concrete progress, delivered results? No.
> What we do have is this: in 1998, we hadn't the foggiest notion how to
> build an AI. Now... we have a foggy notion. From the inside, that feels like
> a lot of progress, though I can certainly understand skepticism and
> pessimism on the part of outside observers!
There are two things needed.
Raw computing power, which is on track to deliver Human performance
equivalent within a decade, and software.
IMO the big breakthroughs will come by doing crude brute force simulations
of real brains - the data derived from slice-and-scan. First insects, then
small mammals, then people.
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