[extropy-chat] three coins in a fountain, part 2: the bayesian angle

[Eliezer S. Yudkowsky]

spike wrote:
> 
> For instance, if the three coins example above had
> the following choices:
> 
> a) 1/2
> b) 1/3
> c) 0
> d) something other than these
> 
> You immediately know that choice c) is wrong (clearly
> there is some possibility of a tail) so that answer
> gets p(c)=0.

PS:  You might want to think about that logic a bit more carefully.

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence