[extropy-chat] three coins in a fountain, part 2: the bayesian angle

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky sentience at pobox.com
Thu Oct 20 20:59:55 UTC 2005

spike wrote:
> For instance, if the three coins example above had
> the following choices:
> a) 1/2
> b) 1/3
> c) 0
> d) something other than these
> You immediately know that choice c) is wrong (clearly
> there is some possibility of a tail) so that answer
> gets p(c)=0.

PS:  You might want to think about that logic a bit more carefully.

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

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