[extropy-chat] Psychology of bad probability estimation

The Avantguardian avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com
Mon Jun 19 18:44:16 UTC 2006

--- Samantha Atkins <sjatkins at mac.com> wrote:

> Changing our plans, even for mass transit, for what
> you yourself  
> admit is a extraordinarily small possibility does
> not strike me as  
> reasonable.   Can this society get off the Fear drug
> and get on with  
> life again?  I fervently hope so.   It is certainly
> not possible to  
> eliminate or guard against all that we may fear will
> do us harm.   
> Many current aspects of the very effort do us harm.

Agreed. God forbid we learn to trust our fellow man
when he is not looking down the barrel of a gun.

Stuart LaForge
alt email: stuart"AT"ucla.edu

"What I am going to tell you about is what we teach our physics students in the third or fourth year of graduate school... It is my task to convince you not to turn away because you don't understand it. You see my physics students don't understand it... That is because I don't understand it. Nobody does." - Richard Feynman on QM

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