[extropy-chat] Existential risks and CERN

[Eugen Leitl]

On Fri, Sep 15, 2006 at 01:25:58PM +1000, Olie Lamb wrote:

>    "The probability is at the level of 10 to the minus 40," he said.
> 
>    ...
>    With that number, against the probability of other existential risks
>    (eg: Gamma-Ut Ray Mi Burst), the risk is negligible against the noise.
>    Question is: are these the real chances, or are they skewed by
>    cognitive biases?

Natural processes achieve even higher energies. You know how long
Earth existed, and from astronomic observation you know that 
catastrophic processes are rare. It's reasonably straightforward
arithmetics.

(And if you're wrong, you won't feel nary a thing).

-- 
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
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