[extropy-chat] what is probability?
gts
gts_2000 at yahoo.com
Fri Jan 12 20:14:34 UTC 2007
--- Benjamin Goertzel <ben at goertzel.org> wrote:
> Yes, but in terms of the subjective theory of
> probability, it seems that certain ways of using the
> PI are "incoherent" whereas others are
> "coherent."
Not sure what you mean here.
In the subjective theory, at least as I understand it,
the PI is neither coherent nor incoherent. The
supposed principle has no relevance whatsoever.
> The paper I referenced described coherent ways of
using
> PI in the wine/water situation and other commonly
> discussed situations...
I agree about the wine/water situation but I'm not
clear about the "other commonly discussed situations".
> A rational mind may, at a certain point, not be
able
> to tell which way of using the PI is going to be
coherent in the
> context of future observations.
True, I think.
> But it should be able to tell which
> ways will be coherent in the context of prior
observations, if it
> has adequate computational resources to do the
calculations.
Hmm, I'll have to think about that. Thanks at least
for understanding my presentation of the problem.
-gts
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