[extropy-chat] Coin Flip Paradox

gts gts_2000 at yahoo.com
Wed Jan 31 19:32:34 UTC 2007

On Wed, 31 Jan 2007 13:50:37 -0500, Jef Allbright <jef at jefallbright.net>  

> Gordon, it seems here again that you're not cognizant of the difference
> between probability and likelihood.

The principle as advertised makes no such distinction, but I think we're  
making progress here...

> If you were to say that "Outcomes X
> and Y are therefore equally likely", then we could agree that this does
> not follow.

Good! Now, if it does not follow that the outcomes are equally likely,  
then on what logical grounds should we assume that they are?

I think you're beginning to see now that the emperor is in fact wearing no  
clothes. Good for you!


More information about the extropy-chat mailing list