[extropy-chat] Coin Flip Paradox

[Jef Allbright]

Gordon, why do you gleefully ignore the key distinction I laid out for
you?
- Jef

> -----Original Message-----
> From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-
> bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of gts
> Sent: Wednesday, January 31, 2007 11:33 AM
> To: ExI chat list
> Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Coin Flip Paradox
> 
> On Wed, 31 Jan 2007 13:50:37 -0500, Jef Allbright
> <jef at jefallbright.net>
> wrote:
> 
> > Gordon, it seems here again that you're not cognizant of the
> difference
> > between probability and likelihood.
> 
> The principle as advertised makes no such distinction, but I think
> we're
> making progress here...
> 
> > If you were to say that "Outcomes X
> > and Y are therefore equally likely", then we could agree that
> this does
> > not follow.
> 
> Good! Now, if it does not follow that the outcomes are equally
> likely,
> then on what logical grounds should we assume that they are?
> 
> I think you're beginning to see now that the emperor is in fact
> wearing no
> clothes. Good for you!
> 
> -gts
> 
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