[ExI] Fast HIV test

[BillK]

On Nov 29, 2007 4:15 AM, spike wrote:
>
> Keith on this website:
>
> http://www.avert.org/usastaty.htm
>
> I found this data (the last column is calculated):
>
>
> year            diagnosed       deaths  alive with HIV in USA (calculated)
>
> 1980            100             30              70
> 1981            339             130             279
> 1982            1,201           466             1014
> 1983            3,153           1,511           2656
> 1984            6,368           3,526           5498
> 1985            12,044  6,996           10546
> 1986            19,404  12,183  17767
> 1987            29,105  16,488  30384
> 1988            36,126  21,244  45266
> 1989            43,499  28,054  60711
> 1990            49,546  31,836  78421
> 1991            60,573  37,106  101888
> 1992            79,657  41,849  139696
> 1993            79,879  45,733  173842
> 1994            73,086  50,657  196271
> 1995            69,984  51,414  214841
> 1996            61,124  38,074  237891
> 1997            49,379  21,846  265424
> 1998            43,225  19,005  289644
> 1999            41,356  18,491  312509
> 2000            39,513  17,139  334883
> 2001            39,262  17,726  356419
> 2002            39,620  17,318  378721
> 2003            40,902  18,020  401603
> 2004            40,907  18,099  424411
> 2005            45,669  17,011  453069
>
>
> I'm not sure what to make of it, but it is interesting.
>


Looks to me like the improvements in treatment of HIV are helping to
spread the disease to more and more people.  i.e. HIV patients live
longer so continue risky behaviour and disease transmission for
longer, non-infected people know that HIV can be now treated so their
behaviour also becomes more risky.

In this case medical treatment is working to humanity's disadvantage.

Like casual use of antibiotics is creating resistant strains of
diseases as people discontinue treatment too early, leaving the
resistant strains to carry on.

BillK