[ExI] Hard Takeoff

[Michael Anissimov]

Hi Ben,

On Fri, Nov 19, 2010 at 8:35 AM, Ben Goertzel <ben at goertzel.org> wrote:

>
> There is a strong argument that a hard takeoff is plausible.   This
> argument has been known for a long time, and so far as I can tell SIAI
> hasn't done much to make it stronger, though they've done a lot to
> publicize it.   The factors Michael A mentions are certainly part of
> this argument...
>
> OTOH, I have not heard any reasonably strong argument that a hard
> takeoff is *likely*... from Michael or anyone else.  There are simply
> too many uncertainties involved, too many fast and loose speculations
> about future technologies, to be able to make such an argument.
>

Given MNT with the capabilities outlined by CRN and the Phoenix nanofactory
paper, does a hard takeoff seem likely to you?

-- 
michael.anissimov at singinst.org
Singularity Institute
Media Director
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