[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday

[Al Brooks]

You are probably right, even if not, then in a later
election someone like a Newt Gingrich-- only younger--
will come along to mobilize the more cohesive
Republicans. The conservatism of America in general
and red states in particular is consistently
underestimated by its nonconservative opponents. BTW
what Kerry said was dumbass & asinine, but it will
have a negligible effect on the election. 
I live in a red state and in some ways it is a 20th
century state, and in some ways a 19th century state.
It sure aint 21st century.




> I offer the following advance prediction:
> 
> Initially, pollsters will predict that Democrats
> will take the House, 
> but not the Senate.
> 
> When the actual election results are reported, it
> will turn out that 
> Republicans kept control of the House by a
> significant margin.  There 
> will be much anguished recrimination among
> Democrats, but few mainstream 
> media sources will suggest that the election was
> stolen.
> 
> Later, an eminent statistician will publish a study
> showing that there 
> were significantly wider differences between polls
> and reported results 
> in districts that use electronic voting machines. 
> The story will not be 
> taken up by the mainstream media.  It will make a
> brief flurry in the 
> blogosphere, then vanish.
> 
> I could be wrong about all this.  I hope I am.
> 
> -- 
> Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                         
> http://singinst.org/
> Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for
> Artificial Intelligence
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