[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
sentience at pobox.com
Tue Nov 7 02:27:11 UTC 2006
Robin Hanson wrote:
>
> You have assigned no probability to your forecast. Betting markets
> now give a 20% chance to the Republicans keeping the House, so if
> you assign a higher probability you should expect to make money
> betting on your prediction.
That's fair. Where would I put a quick bet on my prediction, legally?
(If you happen to know.)
--
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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