[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday

[Robin Hanson]

> > You have assigned no probability to your forecast.   Betting markets
> > now give a 20% chance to the Republicans keeping the House, so if
> > you assign a higher probability you should expect to make money
> > betting on your prediction.
>
>That's fair.  Where would I put a quick bet on my prediction, legally?
>(If you happen to know.)

http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/
But there may not be time for you to get an account before the 
election is over.



Robin Hanson  rhanson at gmu.edu  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323