[ExI] To Aaronson Trump

John Clark johnkclark at gmail.com
Mon Sep 5 14:39:02 UTC 2016


Sorry about that, I meant to send that to somebody else.

John

On Mon, Sep 5, 2016 at 10:21 AM, John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com> wrote:

> John K Clark Says:
> Comment #71 September 4th, 2016 at 9:32 pm
> <http://www.scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=2887#comment-1317371>
>
> In the 2012 presidential election Nate Silver correctly predicted how
> every state would go, and as of today he says Trump has a 30.9% chance of
> taking command of the most powerful nuclear arsenal on the planet in 137
> days. That terrifies me; if I played Russian Roulette I’d only have a 16.6%
> chance of losing.
>
> http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=
> rrpromo#plus
>
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