[ExI] The COVID-19 death rate is 3.4%

Stuart LaForge avant at sollegro.com
Sat Mar 7 06:22:48 UTC 2020

Disclaimer: I am not a medical doctor nor is this medical advice  
per-se. This is me telling you what I would do based upon my  
interpretation of the data. YMMV.

Stuart LaForge

Quoting Stuart LaForge <avant at sollegro.com>:

> Quoting SR Ballard:
>> I?m not panicking YET, but in my metro area they accidentally let  
>> out a lady who tested positive. She visited a grocery store 500m  
>> for me on the busiest day of business we have seen in the last 6  
>> months. RIP.
> To quote Douglas Adams, "Don't panic!"
> Instead, learn:
> http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51
> https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130?guestAccessKey=bdcca6fa-a48c-4028-8406-7f3d04a3e932&utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_content=tfl&utm_term=022420
> Yes, it is the Chinese CDC but it is still data. Check out table 1  
> of the first link. If you are under 50 your mortality rate is under  
> 1% unless you have some pretty severe comorbidities. If I was a  
> young whippersnapper, then I would consider catching it  
> deliberately, taking two weeks of sick leave, and playing video  
> games while ordering out. After that, you should retain lifelong  
> immunity. Call it a jungle vaccination.
> The most at risk are those over 80 who have a CFR of about 15%. If I  
> were over 60, I would avoid crowds and practice not touching my face  
> when out in public until immediately after I had washed them for 20  
> seconds with soap and water. Carry hand sanitizer and use it often.  
> If you learn how to use and dispose of them correctly, personal  
> protective gear like goggles or safety glasses a respirator or N-95  
> disposable masks would be helpful. But in a pinch if confronted with  
> the unwashed masses, I would use a clean handkerchief or paper towel  
> or anything else handy to cover my nose and mouth and try to quickly  
> do my business.
> I hope that helps.
> Stuart LaForge
> "Fear is the mind-killer." -Frank Herbert
> "We have nothing to fear but fear itself." -Franklin D. Roosevelt
> "Nothing in life is to be feared, it is only to be understood. Now  
> is the time to understand more so that we may fear less."- Marie Curie

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