[ExI] The COVID-19 death rate is 3.4%
Stuart LaForge
avant at sollegro.com
Sat Mar 7 06:22:48 UTC 2020
Disclaimer: I am not a medical doctor nor is this medical advice
per-se. This is me telling you what I would do based upon my
interpretation of the data. YMMV.
Stuart LaForge
Quoting Stuart LaForge <avant at sollegro.com>:
> Quoting SR Ballard:
>
>> I?m not panicking YET, but in my metro area they accidentally let
>> out a lady who tested positive. She visited a grocery store 500m
>> for me on the busiest day of business we have seen in the last 6
>> months. RIP.
>
> To quote Douglas Adams, "Don't panic!"
>
> Instead, learn:
>
> http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51
>
> https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130?guestAccessKey=bdcca6fa-a48c-4028-8406-7f3d04a3e932&utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_content=tfl&utm_term=022420
>
>
> Yes, it is the Chinese CDC but it is still data. Check out table 1
> of the first link. If you are under 50 your mortality rate is under
> 1% unless you have some pretty severe comorbidities. If I was a
> young whippersnapper, then I would consider catching it
> deliberately, taking two weeks of sick leave, and playing video
> games while ordering out. After that, you should retain lifelong
> immunity. Call it a jungle vaccination.
>
> The most at risk are those over 80 who have a CFR of about 15%. If I
> were over 60, I would avoid crowds and practice not touching my face
> when out in public until immediately after I had washed them for 20
> seconds with soap and water. Carry hand sanitizer and use it often.
> If you learn how to use and dispose of them correctly, personal
> protective gear like goggles or safety glasses a respirator or N-95
> disposable masks would be helpful. But in a pinch if confronted with
> the unwashed masses, I would use a clean handkerchief or paper towel
> or anything else handy to cover my nose and mouth and try to quickly
> do my business.
>
> I hope that helps.
>
> Stuart LaForge
>
> "Fear is the mind-killer." -Frank Herbert
> "We have nothing to fear but fear itself." -Franklin D. Roosevelt
> "Nothing in life is to be feared, it is only to be understood. Now
> is the time to understand more so that we may fear less."- Marie Curie
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