[ExI] The COVID-19 death rate is 3.4%

[SR Ballard]

I would generally agree EXCEPT that I have gotten pneumonia 5+ times in my life. RIP.

Like I said, not panicking yet. But willing to consider it, lol.

SR Ballard

> On Mar 6, 2020, at 11:40 PM, Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> 
> Quoting SR Ballard:
> 
>> I?m not panicking YET, but in my metro area they accidentally let out a lady who tested positive. She visited a grocery store 500m for me on the busiest day of business we have seen in the last 6 months. RIP.
> 
> To quote Douglas Adams, "Don't panic!"
> 
> Instead, learn:
> 
> http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51
> 
> https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130?guestAccessKey=bdcca6fa-a48c-4028-8406-7f3d04a3e932&utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_content=tfl&utm_term=022420
> 
> 
> Yes, it is the Chinese CDC but it is still data. Check out table 1 of the first link. If you are under 50 your mortality rate is under 1% unless you have some pretty severe comorbidities. If I was a young whippersnapper, then I would consider catching it deliberately, taking two weeks of sick leave, and playing video games while ordering out. After that, you should retain lifelong immunity. Call it a jungle vaccination.
> 
> The most at risk are those over 80 who have a CFR of about 15%. If I were over 60, I would avoid crowds and practice not touching my face when out in public until immediately after I had washed them for 20 seconds with soap and water. Carry hand sanitizer and use it often. If you learn how to use and dispose of them correctly, personal protective gear like goggles or safety glasses a respirator or N-95 disposable masks would be helpful. But in a pinch if confronted with the unwashed masses, I would use a clean handkerchief or paper towel or anything else handy to cover my nose and mouth and try to quickly do my business.
> 
> I hope that helps.
> 
> Stuart LaForge
> 
> "Fear is the mind-killer." -Frank Herbert
> "We have nothing to fear but fear itself." -Franklin D. Roosevelt
> "Nothing in life is to be feared, it is only to be understood. Now is the time to understand more so that we may fear less."- Marie Curie
> 
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