[ExI] southern data

[Ben Zaiboc]

On 26/09/2020 15:24, spike wrote:
>
> OK well, we need data to solve a scientific puzzle.  The Florida 
> governor has lifted all quarantine restrictions yesterday (I heard, 
> don’t know the details.)
>
> There is nothing political about it as far as I can tell, so that 
> shouldn’t come into play here.
>
> We see the new case rate is steady for the past coupla months, so now 
> we get to compare a restrictions states to a big no-restrictions state.
>
> Somebody had to do this eventually.  Florida is the state.  Here we go.
>
> Predictions anyone?
>

Well here's my prediction (more a hope than a prediction, really). Cases 
will rise dramatically. Deaths will rise much less dramatically, or 
hopefully not at all.

The hypothesis here is that the virus is mutating to be less lethal, and 
lifting restrictions will enable the milder form to spread rapidly. More 
infections, less death (including the economic kind caused by these 
restrictions). Everybody wins, including the virus (well, maybe not 
literally everybody, but many more than otherwise).

-- 
Ben Zaiboc

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