[ExI] population bomb?

[William Flynn Wallace]

 Childless people have a different outlook than
those who raise children.  spike
Your thoughts, please?   bill w


On Mon, Jan 23, 2023 at 10:49 AM spike jones via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

>
>
>
>
> Ehrlich’s population explosion models have been proven wrong repeatedly.  I
> am having trouble finding references to past predictions on when China
> would
> reach peak population.  In the 1960s, there was so much talk about how
> China
> had instituted a one-child policy but that population would continue to
> grow
> anyway because of its demographics: so many of the Chinese still in their
> fertile years had yet to bear their one child.  With that, most of the
> mathematical models suggested China would peak in about 2040.
>
>
>
> However… now they are saying that China’s population has already peaked.  I
> think those models underestimated how many fertile Chinese who had not yet
> borne their one child would never do so.  Plenty of Chinese decided if
> having only one child is good for China, than having none is better.
>
>
>
> Well… in reality… it isn’t.  Childless people have a different outlook than
> those who raise children.
>
>
>
> Now I am relying on memory, and the internet isn’t handing over the
> published predictions from the past on China’s population models.  Does
> anyone here have  links or remember past predictions on that?
>
>
>
> spike
>
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