[ExI] Six Startling Predictions

Ben Zaiboc ben at zaiboc.net
Fri May 5 07:09:17 UTC 2023


On 04/05/2023 22:17, BillK wrote:
> The Great AI Disruption: Six Startling Predictions That Will Shape Our
> Lives and Test Our Limits
> by Thomas Frey | May 4, 2023
>
> To better grasp the transition we’re in, I will help unpack six
> predictions surrounding the future of AI and the profound impact these
> developments will have on our lives, as well as the ethical questions
> and challenges they will raise. As we delve into these predictions, it
> is essential to consider the implications of these technologies and
> the importance of striking a balance between the benefits they bring
> and the potential risks they pose.
>
> <https://futuristspeaker.com/artificial-intelligence/the-great-ai-disruption-six-startling-predictions-that-will-shape-our-lives-and-test-our-limits/>


Startling? Disruptions??

I'd call those trite ripples.

The emergence of true AGI will be much more disruptive than any of 
those, and could happen much much sooner than anyone expects.

And the 'predictions' I'd be looking for would be things like: When will 
uploading be available? (which is probably the single most important and 
urgent thing, for us humans). When will indefinite biological lifespans 
be possible? (probably the second most important). Ditto Nanotechnology 
(Drexlerian nanotech, or the nearest equivalent that will work in 
reality), which would likely be an enabler of the other two. And nobody 
can put a timeframe on any of those things.

All assuming, of course, that the emergence of true AGI doesn't 
inadvertently kill everybody, as an unfortunate but unavoidable 
side-effect of dismantling the planet to make quintillions of processing 
nodes, for example.

Ben


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