[ExI] interesting take on nuclear power
Dylan Distasio
interzone at gmail.com
Sat Mar 9 07:01:10 UTC 2024
Thanks for clarifying...If anyone else thinks it is that close, would still
be interested in hearing the arguments for it.
On Sat, Mar 9, 2024 at 12:55 AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> On Fri, Mar 8, 2024 at 9:12 PM Dylan Distasio via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
>> Respectfully, I'm curious how you have odds of even close to 50% of the
>> Singularity happening by 2030. What is behind this optimism?
>>
>
> I said over 50% against it happening by 2030, which sufficed for my point
> (it's unlikely to happen in the next few years, so other measures over at
> least the next few years to deal with scarcity are justified). A fuller
> truth is that my odds are well over 50% against it happening by 2030, so
> the odds are not close to 50% of it happening by 2030.
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