[ExI] what if... the singularity isn't near?

[scerir]

Maybe of interest!

https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/0624

> Il 05/11/2025 03:31 CET spike jones via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> ha scritto:
>  
>  
> 
> OK sure, this site is all about the singularity being near, and OK sure, I am a big heretic for even entertaining the notion it might not be.
> 
>  
> 
> But what if… the Singularity is a coupla decades off still, and Kurzweil was mostly right, but off a little, and the Singularity is still coming but not right away?
> 
>  
> 
> Then what?  Do I get to sell Singularity insurance? 
> 
>  
> 
> Because it appears to me that what we are calling AI might be a kind of false alarm: a big advance in smart search might make us think the Singularity is nearer than it really is.
> 
>  
> 
> Then what?  What if… intelligence really is substrate dependent for reasons we don’t currently understand, or the Singularity depends on technology we don’t yet have.
> 
>  
> 
> Then we would predict the Singularity sooner than it is, ja?
> 
>  
> 
> Singularity thinkers come on, help me Obi wans, alla yas: might we be in a situation where we are fooling ourselves?  OK then what please?
> 
>  
> 
> spike
> 
> _______________________________________________
> extropy-chat mailing list
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat
> 
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20251107/097d2d54/attachment.htm>