[ExI] Could the Singularity be 1 year away?
Jason Resch
jasonresch at gmail.com
Wed Oct 1 05:53:46 UTC 2025
While doing research to make this presentation:
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1erbKPY7V7fTgY61n-BONBPvdhJn1GEdE8HAuuDH8zO8/edit?slide=id.p#slide=id.p
I discovered that the underlying macrotrends (for the economy, human
population, the pace of history, and computing technology) aren't
exponential, but rather, are best described by hyperbolic functions.
Unlike exponential functions, hyperbolic functions reach infinity within a
finite amount of time.
Curiously, two independent models, based on different data sets, put the
singularity for these exponential models at a time near 2027.
In the above linked presentation, I speculate at what could be the ultimate
driver of these trends, and trigger for shooting towards infinity. Based on
what I show to be possible with existing AI tools, I think we really may be
just a year or two away from seeing truly incredible progress.
Jason
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