[ExI] Could the Singularity be 1 year away?

[Brent Allsop]

Wow.

But more people having more children to contribute and "when something
reinforces the rate of change" and so on are all finite, so can't really be
parabolic right?  There is a big difference between unimaginably fast or
large (i.e.finite) and "countably infinite" (integers) and "uncountably
infinite"(real numbers) is even way larger than that right?

but still, all this becomes rounding errors when you're looking at the time
required to get to any finite number, no matter how large.

Exciting.








On Tue, Sep 30, 2025 at 11:54 PM Jason Resch via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> While doing research to make this presentation:
>
> https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1erbKPY7V7fTgY61n-BONBPvdhJn1GEdE8HAuuDH8zO8/edit?slide=id.p#slide=id.p
>
> I discovered that the underlying macrotrends (for the economy, human
> population, the pace of history, and computing technology) aren't
> exponential, but rather, are best described by hyperbolic functions.
>
> Unlike exponential functions, hyperbolic functions reach infinity within a
> finite amount of time.
>
> Curiously, two independent models, based on different data sets, put the
> singularity for these exponential models at a time near 2027.
>
> In the above linked presentation, I speculate at what could be the
> ultimate driver of these trends, and trigger for shooting towards infinity.
> Based on what I show to be possible with existing AI tools, I think we
> really may be just a year or two away from seeing truly incredible progress.
>
> Jason
> _______________________________________________
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> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
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>
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