[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

From: spike at rainier66.com <spike at rainier66.com> 
…

 

>… I'm sticking with my prediction. 

 

John K Clark

 

>…I propose we use RCP average and use the data we have.  Since there are only three who are in the race, I would have offered you 66 RC cents for a Not share.  However you seem very sure of yourself, so I will only offer you (or anyone else) 50 cents for a Not on John’s second wager.  Come on, it’s just a game, and we are among friends here.  spike

 

 

 

OK so you guys will make me do that fast talking auctioneer thing.  Well, Ok then:

 

FIFTY, do I hear FIFTY yabbity babbity yabbity FIFTY for the Yes on John’s Wager yabbity babbity yabbity…

 

Adrian, anyone else here want to play for a few RCs?  I will keep score.  Anyone can propose a nearer term bet as well, such as 1 Feb.  It is just a game.  You can go as much in debt as you wish, do all the back channel dealing you want.  As you recall, that was a big point of debate on Robin Hanson’s subgroup: whether guys could make back channel deals to boost one player, when it was really a team, pooling their winnings.  I propose allowing that practice for the RC game: players may strategerize offlist.

 

spike

 

 

 

 

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

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