[ExI] The AI Superforecasters Are Here

[John Clark]

*The AI Superforecasters Are Here*
<https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-ai-superforecasters-are-here>


*The following is a quote from the above: *

*"If the trendline does keep going, things start changing quickly. Finance
gets transformed first, as human stock analysts go the way of horse-drawn
carriages and kerosene lamps. The opportunity for smart humans to
consistently make money on prediction markets likewise dries up - instead,
bots duel other bots for the privilege of collecting money from dumb sports
fans. [...] I asked the AI superforecasters the probability of a US-China
treaty to slow down AI, enforced by cryptographic verification of data
center activity. FutureSearch said 1%; Preseen, 2.2%."*

*John K Clark    See what's on my list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>*

7uz
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