Any progress towards AI at all? was Re: [extropy-chat] Futures Past

[Dirk Bruere]

On 10/10/05, Russell Wallace <russell.wallace at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> On 10/10/05, Dirk Bruere <dirk.bruere at gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> > There are two things needed.
> >  Raw computing power, which is on track to deliver Human performance
> > equivalent within a decade, and software.
> > IMO the big breakthroughs will come by doing crude brute force
> > simulations of real brains - the data derived from slice-and-scan. First
> > insects, then small mammals, then people.
> >
>
> Well okay, that's an idea we had long before 1998, though I tend to regard
> uploading as something separate from AI. It'll be a lot more than a decade
> before we have the computing power for that, though. (By 2015 we might have
> the computing power to match human performance in a significant spread of
> domains _if_ we had appropriate AI software optimized to make efficient use
> of electronic hardware - though I doubt we will have such software by then -
> but _not_ to run an uploaded human brain.)
>
> Well, 10 PFLOP machines are on the boards for implementation by 2011.
That, IMO, is Human Level processing power.

Dirk
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